What is Feeling Lucky?
Feeling Lucky runs the entire valuation pipeline with sensible defaults — no questions asked. You get an intrinsic value per share in about 2 min, then you can drill into any assumption and tweak it.When to use it
- You want a quick sanity check on a stock price
- You’re screening multiple companies and need rough values fast
- You want to see the full output before deciding what to customize
How forecasts work
The DCF model projects four variables over a 10-year horizon. For each variable, Feeling Lucky auto-selects three things: a start value (year 1), an end value (year 10 target), and a convergence curve that controls the transition shape between them.The four forecast variables
Convergence curves
Rather than assuming a simple linear transition, the plugin selects from six curve shapes that model how real companies evolve:
The curve selection is rule-based — it considers the direction (ascending vs. descending), the magnitude of the gap, and the company’s recent trajectory.
Other defaults
After the quick valuation
Once you see the result, you can:- Tweak any assumption — “What if year 1 growth is 15% instead of 12%?”
- Change a curve shape — “Use an S-curve for margins instead of linear”
- Switch to Expert mode — re-run with full control over all four variables
- Run diagnostics — Damodaran’s 6-step sanity check
- Generate a report —
.docxwith full breakdown